Bitcoin’s Formation of ‘Head and Shoulders’ Pattern Signals Potential Drop to $75K
Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price movement has sparked concerns among technical analysts, with the cryptocurrency potentially forming a bearish “head and shoulders” (H&S) pattern. If confirmed, this pattern could lead to a price correction targeting the $75,000 level.
After a powerful rally of over 50% since November, BTC’s upward momentum has begun to show signs of exhaustion. The left shoulder of the H&S pattern took shape following bitcoin’s initial rejection near the $100,000 mark in late November.
The head emerged as BTC reached a record high above $108,000 in mid-December before a steep pullback to $92,000. The recent decline to $97,000 hints at the development of the right shoulder, completing the setup.
The neckline, which connects the pattern’s two low points, is currently positioned around $91,500. A decisive break below this level would confirm the bearish reversal, opening the door for a decline to the $75,000 region, as calculated using the measured move technique.
This method determines the potential downside by measuring the height of the pattern (the distance between the head’s peak and the neckline) and projecting it downward from the neckline.
While such patterns are valuable tools in technical analysis, traders should approach them with caution. Breakouts aren’t always reliable, and false signals can result in unexpected market reversals. If the neckline holds as support, BTC could invalidate the bearish setup and resume its upward trajectory.